Pakistan/Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31
27 February 2026
Daily Briefing
Today’s Probability: Pakistan/Afghanistan ceasefire by March
Question: Do today’s headlines raise or lower the odds?
Signal: 🟢 Convergence 🔴 Divergence
What’s your take?
🔴Pakistan says at ‘open war’ with Afghanistan amid clashes (dw.com)
🟢Russia calls on Afghanistan, Pakistan to stop confrontation, return to talks (tass.com)
🔴Update Pakistan-Afghanistan live: Islamabad says ‘open war’; jets attack Kabul (aljazeera.com)
🔴Pakistan’s defense minister says that there is an ‘open war’ with Afghanistan (apnews.com)
🔴Pakistan and Afghanistan slide into ‘open war’ with strikes reported on both sides (thenationalnews.com)